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The quant nerds at The Athletic built a model for which Top 25 unranked teams have the best shot to crash the 12-team playoff, and AU is one of the 7

Excerpt below. Consider a sub to The Athletic.

Strongest underdog contenders this year​

So who’s left? According to our research, CFP party crashers should come from this group of seven teams.

Auburn

Conference: SEC
2023 record: 6-7
Championship odds: +12000

Auburn capped the 2023 season with three dreadful losses: a 31-10 stumble vs. New Mexico State, the agonizing last-minute Iron Bowl crusher, and a blowout against Maryland in the Music City Bowl. Fortunately for the Tigers, our analysis shows no significant carryover effect of losing streaks for potential breakout teams. Instead, it likes what it sees in Auburn: a team sitting just outside the top 20 in championship odds with a head coach in his second year with the program, new coordinators and terrific recent recruiting results.

Further, the Tigers managed to lose more games than they won last year while scoring more points than they gave up. That’s the type of misfortune that usually wears off, as Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas A&M all showed last year. It doesn’t necessarily indicate a championship-level breakout is coming, but it is a strong signal that a team will improve as its results align with its underlying performance — especially if it keeps a lot of the same personnel.

For instance, over the past 11 seasons, 31 teams posted records under .500 despite outscoring their opponents, then retained at least 13 starters, including their quarterback, according to Steve Makinen of VSiN. The following season, those teams improved their win totals by an average of 16 percent and their performance against the spread by 53 percent. This time around, Auburn is in that group.

How medicore is UAT or Auburn

If saban doesnt come to tuscaloosa I feel like both football programs stay medicore...

Chizik still gets hired at some point, Gus doesnt come, Rueban Foster comes to Auburn, Evans, Brent calloway...

Muschamp probably comes after Chizik?

No Cam...

No Kick 6

But I think Bo Nix dominates without Gus being here

I know people will think this is a dumb post, but it makes you wonder what happens to Tubs in 2007-08 and what both programs do
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Payroll REVISIONS are out... the circle jerk can come and bow down...

And beg my forgiveness for their arrogance, pretentiousness and unwillingness to look at the facts as presented - the gross differences in the Household and Establishment surveys, the Census analysis done by the Philly Fed, the shift from full-time jobs to part-time jobs, the jobs all going to illegal immigrants, dismissing every fact with invective...

And I truly know not one of you assclowns is man enough to apologize, but you make it easy to constantly prove you're raging blithering idiots...

BLS admits - finally, it overestimated jobs created by 818,000.... Still behind the Philly Feds estimate of 1.1 Million - and yes, they'll revise it further downward in another few months... This is what you clowns get for pre-jacking, trusting lies fed to you with no questions asked, and how resistant you are to the truth...

@00aubie, @Stumpfan, @DM8, @AUBK @KilgoreTrout and anyone else who blindly, ridiculously defended bidenomics and a great economy....


love you guys,
Juco or whatever dude.

BASEBALL SEC tournament staying in Hoover...

Through at least 2028. Here's the press release...

The Southeastern Conference, along with the City of Hoover and the Public Park and Recreation Board of the City of Hoover, announced Thursday an agreement to hold the SEC Baseball Tournament at Hoover Metropolitan Stadium through at least 2028.

The agreement allows the SEC the option of exercising additional extensions to conduct the tournament at the Hoover Met in 2029 and 2030.

The Hoover Met has served as host of the SEC Tournament every year since 1998, excluding 2020 when the event was cancelled due to the COVID pandemic. Attendance records were set in each of the last two tournaments, with a total attendance of 180,004 in 2024.

"The SEC Tournament has become one of the premier events in college baseball and the Hoover Met is a special venue for our fans,” said SEC Commissioner Greg Sankey. "We look forward to continuing a positive relationship with the City of Hoover as the home of our baseball tournament."

Renovations to the stadium entrance and parking lot were among the enhancements completed earlier this year. Other improvements are scheduled to be completed prior to the 2025 tournament, including the replacement of reserved stadium seats and addition of new hospitality spaces.

The Finley Center, a 155,000-square foot entertainment facility opened in 2017 adjacent to the Hoover Met, and it has served as home to Fan Fest during the SEC Baseball Tournament.

“For the past 27 years, the City of Hoover has been pleased to host the SEC Baseball Tournament,” Hoover Mayor Frank Brocato said. “Over those years, we’ve developed a great partnership with the SEC. The City has worked extremely hard to provide stellar customer service, and make sure we understand what players, coaches, fans, and the SEC expect from us. Working as a team, we believe we’ve built a brand and with all our members, we have created what we believe is the best environment in college baseball. We are so grateful that the SEC continues to support hosting the SEC Baseball Tournament in Hoover.”

The 2025 SEC Tournament will be the first to include every SEC team, including new members Oklahoma and Texas. The 16-team tournament will be conducted in a single-elimination format. Tickets will go on sale in March at SECsports.com.

The SEC has claimed five consecutive baseball national championships by five different programs since 2019. At least one SEC team has reached the College World Series finals 15 times in the last 16 tournaments, and 2024 marked the sixth time two SEC teams played in the CWS finals.

Taulia almost transferred to Auburn this past season


the fun quotes

"That big offer came his way: $1.5 million from an SEC school for a single season, according to the quarterback. Taulia didn't name the school, but according to sources familiar with the situation, Auburn was after Maryland's quarterback. That created a complicated situation for Taulia, who started his career at Alabama and whose brother won a national championship at the school. Could Tagovailoa really leave Maryland to play at Alabama's biggest rival?

At times, the answer looked like yes. Taulia hadn't entered the transfer portal yet, but that hadn't stopped a message from making its way to him and his family that there was a lot of outside interest in his abilities."

"You lose your starting quarterback? You lose your starting quarterback? For a school like us that's trying to build, that's harder to overcome," Evans said. "Michigan State lost their starting quarterback Payton Thorne, but Michigan State is a much more established program. Some programs can overcome that, but it would have knocked us back a couple steps and we don't need that right now."

"We're an Alabama family," Tua told his younger brother. "You're not going to Auburn."

Still, a day before Maryland's spring game on April 29, Taulia was still contemplating entering the transfer portal. Locksley had to work the phones of loyal Maryland football supporters to raise as much money as he could to keep what he thought was one of the nation's best quarterbacks in his program. Ultimately, Tagovailoa got a significant deal in six figures to stay at Maryland, but nowhere near the $1.5 million he publicly claimed to have turned down."

"I got a homeboy discount because we ain't paying him one point five [million]," Locksley said. "Now, down the road, would we? Who knows how this thing's gonna shake out."

"Maryland looked fantastic against Auburn, racing out to a 21–0 first-quarter lead that showed the country what the Terrapins could do against an SEC opponent that should have beaten Alabama in the Iron Bowl. It was a youth movement, with Maryland players fired up and flying around the field. "Maryland has put an infomercial for 2024 on ABC," play-by-play announcer Taylor Zarzour exclaimed.

Maryland finished strong and beat Auburn, 31–13. After the game, Auburn head coach Hugh Freeze claimed he was too busy with recruiting to be involved much in the game planning ahead of the loss. It was another sign of the times. "

@Powerman26 @Docdumpsta @EverythingGucci @stutsman23 @Mikecb22 @penya87 @ricedp105

A little recruiting nugget 💯

Last night I was talking to a 4 star DB from Gadsden City, the talk during big Cat weekend was Auburn was going to flip N.Offord from Parker.......I know there has been some talk about it , but I feel better about it now after talking to somebody that was actually connected to him......
It's time to land a 5 Star CB.....
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JHS Seating Advice

I’ve been to a bunch of games and sat damn near everywhere, but taking the kiddos for the first time this fall and want to give them a great experience. (Likely Vandy so won’t be THAT cool probably lol).

Any favorite sections that you think would suit the 8 & 10 year old best? Obviously the “Big Vision” board is crucial here. Want them to be down in the lower bowl but high enough to see the field well. So what, 10 rows up minimum probably?

Also if anyone has 4 Vandy tix you’re itching to sell already let me know🫶🏼

Honest Opinions on "The Wire"

I'm really interested to get feedback and hear the opinions from others on The Wire, especially from folks who didn't grow up in that type of environment. Did you find anything shocking about the cultures that it presents? Did it change your views or thoughts on anything regarding folks who grew up in the Hood and/or environments where those types of crime were common?

1. What did you think about the show overall?
2. What are the best and worst things about the show?
3. Considering the time that it came out, do you feel the producer pushed any particular societal narratives?
4. Do you the show had any impact on society, and if so, what was the net impact?

I can't believe that it took me this long to get around to viewing it. I had to step away for a couple of weeks after the first show or two because it caused me to feel some kind of way, before I decided to come back and continue watching it. Thanks for the rec @griffna #lateNightCrew! Thanks in advance.
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