ADVERTISEMENT

Auburn's Offense inside the opponents 40yd line

One of our biggest weaknesses this year is something called "POINTS PER OPPORTUNITY"

this means "getting points when you cross the opponents 40 yard line"

so far this year- auburns had a total of 40 scoring opportunities. now that might not seem like much but its actually inline with most of the SEC only slightly lagging

(alabama-43, arkansas-47, georgia-44, lsu-49, mizzou-50, texas-51, ole miss-54)

the good news is that kentucky is the lowest by a good margin at 33 opportunities on the year. they are slightly more efficient with their chances though. the only other team less than 40 is miss st with 37

a big chunk is coming from aamu and new mexico game tho (15 of them from those 2 games)

we are extremely bad at converting them into points

kE74AMu.png


even worse if you take out the aamu game

yRufBIP.png



tldr: we are really good at shooting ourselves in the foot


heres the breakdown of each opportunity in individual games this year. on eachof these opportunities we should at least be getting 3 points to be "SEC AVERAGE"
VS AAMU

Login to view embedded media
6 opportunities-31points: passing 4/10 56 yrds 2td rushing 4carries 47yrds 2td 1/1 fg


5points/opp 5.6 ypa passing 11.8 ypc


VS CAL
Login to view embedded media
2 opportunities-14 points: passing 2/3 17yrds 1td rushing 4carries 14yds 1td



7pts/opp 5.8ypa 3.5 ypc

(problem with this game was too few opportunities. actually efficient)


VS UNM
Login to view embedded media
9 opportunities-45points: passing 11/16 104 yds 4tds rushing 18 carries 113yds 2td 1/1fg 2fumbles (1lost)


5pts/opp 6.5 ypa 6.3 ypc

VS ARK
Login to view embedded media
6opportunities-7points: passing 2/4 28yds 1td 2int rushing 4carries 51yrds 1fumble


1.2pts/opp 7ypa 12.8 ypc


VS OU
Login to view embedded media
5opportunities-14points: passing 5/10 67yds 2td rushing 15 carries 34yds 0/1 fg 1fumble (0lost) 1turnover downs

2.8pts/opp 6.7 ypa 2.3 ypc



VS UGA
Login to view embedded media 5opportunities-10poitns: passing 1/8 8yds rushing 6carries 60yds 1td 1/2 fg 1turnover downs



2pts/opp 1ypa 10ypc


VS MIZZOU
Login to view embedded media
5opportunities-3points: passing 7/10 58yds rushing 9carries 15yds 1 fumble 1/2fg 2penalties 15yrds



.2pts/opp 5.8ypa 1.7 ypc



benchmarks to look for---- passing yards per attempt >7yards rushing yards per attempt >3 should be >3 points per opportunity to be average, >4 to be "good"







@Docdumpsta @jolivesr @wareaglegsu @ricedp105 @lovelady2530 @StatsMatter @stutsman23 @Barnervojn @wareagle1977 @Russ47

When we will get results in each state…

This article outlines when we’ll get results in each state. Hopefully this clears things up so that some on here don’t believe whatever they see on Truth Social…


Wde

A timeline of Gus Malzahn CEO and Gus Malzahn play-caller

2013-2015 Gus the play-caller

2016, seat starts to warm early in season. Announces Lashlee will call plays before LSU.

Sept. 27, 2016: “In this day and time in this league, to be the head coach and call an offense is not realistic, at least for me,” he said. “It hit me after that first game. What’s best for our team, 100 percent is what’s best. We’ve got very good offensive coaches that will definitely do a great job with that, I believe. I think we’ll get nothing but better.”

Late season, Kerryon Johnson gets hurt. Gus resumes play-calling for remainder of season, which ends down 21 and calling a timeout late in the game to run a trick play on the final snap vs Oklahoma... :confused:

Seat is getting awfully hot....

Jan. 21, 2017, on the hiring of Chip Lindsey: “Chip is the quarterback coach and the offensive coordinator. I think I told him — my old offensive clipboard, I’m retiring it. That’s probably the best way to answer that.”

There is a clear struggle of who controls the offense. As mentioned in an August 2017 Rundown, Chip is told he can call plays, but Gus gets to decide what all is allowed on the play sheet.

Auburn blows 20 point lead at LSU. Malzahn is informed by the PTB that Chip Lindsey will call plays.

With Lindsey at the helm, Auburn comes within a Kerry Johnson injury of making the playoffs, losing in the SEC Championship Game to UGA.

With some leverage via Arkansas offer and some Jimmy Sexton work, Gus Malzahn signs a 7-year $49M contract. He tells the PTB to shove it, it's his offense.

2018 is a struggle for the offense. Chip Lindsey leaves for the Kansas Offensive Coordinator job (which doesn't last long as he eventually gets the Troy HC job).

July 18, 2019, after Lindsey’s departure: “Through the years, you get advice and all of that. And, of course, I made a mistake…. When I decided to go back and call plays, that’s really who I am. I’m an offensive guy. That’s what got me where I’m at…. When (Lindsey) left, just the reality is what it is now. Just decided to getting back to being me and call plays. It’s been a very refreshing thing.”

2019- Auburn hires Memphis QB coach Kenny Dillingham to serve as Gus' eyes in the sky while Gus calls plays.

Following 2019 season, Auburn hires former Clemson OC and Arky HC Chad Morris as HC.

1/21/20 “Chad Morris, in my opinion, is one of the best offensive minds in all of college football,” Malzahn said. “We’re going to turn him loose, and I’m very excited that he’s a part. I trust him 110 percent. He’s going to take our offense, and he’s going to run with it.”

Hat tip to FootballScoop for the quotes

I tried to not let it ruin my weekend

But I've just got to vent about Hugh's comment about Jarquez Hunter. WTF are you saving him for Hugh? We don't play an SEC team for 3 weeks, a bye, ULM and then A&M. Like WTF is this "gassed" bullshit excuse he came up with. I DGAS that they were loading the box, do exactly what you did against Kentucky....use Hunter in the passing game, match him up against a LB in space on short quick throws. Hell Will Friend was able to scheme shit up better against ALABAMA, with a worse OL against a better defense...like WTF kind of bullshit is that. I stuck with Hugh for almost 2 years but shit like that makes me question if he even has what it takes to be an SEC HC, much less a playcaller. Yes Thorne isn't great and is a big part of the offensive operations failure this year and we've discussed numerous times, but at least pretend like you want to win a fuggin football game and give you best player touches against VANDERBILT. Sorry for the rant, I try not to let it ruin my weekend. I've learned there are so many more important things in life than the outcome of a football game. But this is not the Auburn I know anymore, it's unrecognizable, and Hugh's ass better fix it in the offseason. Zero excuses for an offense to score SEVEN points vs Vanderbilt AT HOME.. Ok I feel better now...maybe. Thoughts? Do ya'll just all hate me now because I finally had a glimmer of hope against beating UK and went "old Rice"?

I am now in the camp

that “Riley Leonard” was a miss

the story is apparently hugh wanted him but “didnt want to pay the money he was asking for”

we’d be a 6win maybe 7win team if riley was the starting qb

two offseason narratives that turned out to be lies:

#1.) more talent around thorne would get him to “michigan st performance levels”

#2.) portal qbs need spring practice

gonna need to factor these into my “portal evaluations” in upcoming months

WDE

@Docdumpsta @ricedp105 @Powerman26 @penya87 @stutsman23

I just read about Peanut The Squirrel and now I feel compelled to repeatedly read the Gospel of John for soul bleach.

The light shines in the darkness, and the darkness has not overcome it.

Bros, we know that Jesus and his philosophy is the light of all mankind. We know that the light lives inside of us. Because of this, we also know that the “real world”, in all of its truth and joy, actually lies within. It is the external world that is actually an illusion. It is our responsibility, as those who recognize the light inside of us, to illuminate the path for those who walk in darkness. We do this with love, mercy, charity, and kindness. We do it with a song in our heart and we do it without judgment, just as he did for us.

Events like tomorrow are designed specifically to undermine that light by sowing discord, division, and hatred. Please do not give into this, no matter which side of the aisle you’re on. It is a trick of the material world to extinguish that special light inside of you.

Every single one of you are special in yore own way. You hold tremendous power, whether you realize it or not. Use that power to illuminate the path to truth and freedom for others, even for those who you don’t think really deserve it, just as he does for us.

QB Development under Corch HEW

What if I told you that 2024 Payton Thorne is the best HEW Freeze QB to have ever existed while being coached by him? Would that be something you would like more information on?



Bo Wallace
SeasonCmpAttCmp%YdsTDTD%IntInt%Y/AAY/AY/CY/GRate
2012*23536863.92994226174.68.17.2512.7230.3142.7
2013*28343764.83346184.1102.37.77.4511.8257.4138.1
2014*22938160.13194225.8143.78.47.8813.9245.7142.2

In terms of development, there isn't much there to suggest Bo took any giant steps forward. Maybe he maintained a high floor of consistency, but that didn't help him get to the NFL. Not drafted and cut in minicamp.

Chad Kelly
SeasonCmpAttCmp%YdsTDTD%IntInt%Y/AAY/AY/CY/GRate
2015*29845865.14042316.8132.88.88.913.6310.9155.9
201629347362.53984245.8112.48.48.4713.5306.4147.4

Kelly took some notable steps back in year 2 under Corch HEW. Kelly did find himself drafted in the 7th round... picked last in the NFL draft. From all I can tell, he appeared once in a game to take a kneel.


Stephen Calvert
SeasonCmpAttCmp%YdsTDTD%IntInt%Y/AY/CY/GRate
2018 24043954.73068214.8184.1712.8255.7121
2019*24943157.83663286.571.68.514.7281.8147.4

2019 is the First Year for Hugh at Liberty.... You can see some clear improvement with Calvert in the 1st year with HEW. But this is where growth seems to stop...

malik Willis
SeasonCmpAttCmp%YdsTDTD%IntInt%Y/AY/CY/GRate
2020*17026564.22260207.562.38.513.3226156.2
2021*20733961.12862278123.58.413.8220.2151.2

Willis puts up some better counting stats due to throwing more passes in Year 2, but the quality dips in both Comp% and Rating. I have a hard time coming to the conclusion that Willis got better in year 2. Willis was drafted in the 3rd round. That is significant.


Payton Thorne
SeasonCmpAttCmp%YdsTDTD%IntInt%Y/AY/CY/GRate
202316226561.11755166%103.86.610.8135129.1
20247712960%1238108%64.70%9.616.1247.6156.6

Payton Thorne's 13-game projection

SeasonCmpAttCmp%YdsTDTD%IntInt%Y/AY/CY/GRate
2024 projection200.2335.459.69%3218.8267.75%15.64.65%9.616.1247.6157.05


While Payton's usage numbers are less than what the Ole Miss QBs did under Corch HEW, he is slightly better in Passer Rating. He is also doing more with what he is being asked to do with is reps. Payton is clearly the most improved QB that HEW has coached. This is what it is.... Welcome to the circus.

And I know Rice will say... but Kaidon Salter... He did actually improve as a passer..... under Corch Jamey Chadwell.


Folks, it appears we hired the wrong Liberty Head Football Coach.


@crococile22 @stutsman23 @ricedp105 @Docdumpsta @grizzlyadams16 @Big Blue @SHORTS @Jeffrey Lee @murray_hitchock @Mikecb22

LAMP: My son is a Melton Scholarship recipient

My son was a recipient of a Melton Scholarship this weekend. (Third from the left). It’s $10K per year, which is great.

GbZx7WoakAAgXnj.jpg:large

Of course the exhibition basketball game benefits this scholarship. So big thanks to Bruce Pearl and all those who supported. They had a presentation on Friday night as well.

ADVERTISEMENT

Filter

ADVERTISEMENT