…since you’re in a right wing bubble. Yes, these could change. I’ll let you know when they do.
NV & MI look like Kamala is leading as of now.
The next state I feel the good about based on some recent polls including NYT/Siena is PA.
WI is the state that could be the hardest of the rust belt states to win. Less minorities than PA and MI. Always super close. Any state with Ron Johnson as a senator is going to be harder to win than PA and MI. I have lived in PA before and as Carville said “It’s AL without Pittsburgh and Philly.”
Out of the sunbelt states, I have no idea. I think GA might be the hardest to win followed by AZ. NC is a mystery to me. Trump did himself no favors endorsing that nut job for Governor. Toss up imo.
The closest states will be WI and NC unless Harris wins in a landslide on the EC side of things.
One interesting thing Nate Silver has in his model is that it’s so close that one side has a 40% chance of sweeping all 7 swing states.