Let’s assume there are no crazy shockers in the last week.
TL/DR - we could catch Bama, UT, or Mizzou as the 4 seed.
Bama loss to UF and win vs AU:
Both Bama and UT are 13-5. First tie breaker is headed to head so Bama gets 4 seed and UT 3.
Bama loss to UF and AU:
Missouri starts to come into play here for the 4 seed assuming they take care of business at home vs UK in the last week. Both Bama and Mizzou are 12-6 now. Mizzou has the head to head which puts Mizzou at 4 and Bama at 5.
UF loss:
Both UT and UF are 13-5. They split the head to head. Second tie breaker applies. Won-lost record of the two teams versus the No. 1 seed (and proceeding through the No. 14 seed, if necessary). UT lost to AU and UF beat us so UT is 4 seed and UF is 3.
TL/DR - we could catch Bama, UT, or Mizzou as the 4 seed.
Bama loss to UF and win vs AU:
Both Bama and UT are 13-5. First tie breaker is headed to head so Bama gets 4 seed and UT 3.
Bama loss to UF and AU:
Missouri starts to come into play here for the 4 seed assuming they take care of business at home vs UK in the last week. Both Bama and Mizzou are 12-6 now. Mizzou has the head to head which puts Mizzou at 4 and Bama at 5.
UF loss:
Both UT and UF are 13-5. They split the head to head. Second tie breaker applies. Won-lost record of the two teams versus the No. 1 seed (and proceeding through the No. 14 seed, if necessary). UT lost to AU and UF beat us so UT is 4 seed and UF is 3.