Most all analogies 'limp' as the saying goes, but I think this one's a B- anyway.
Entering the open port hole season, head football coach has to "draft" his next season players (from 10 to 25 on average, let's say) via the portal.
Other than the rating services stars assigned to the kid coming out of high school 2-3 years ago, the coach is armed with little more than a stat sheet, PFF scores, and some limited and carefully curated player game video, so margin of error on portal player value his first season on your roster is going to be LARGE. And you can't pin down why he's leaving Team XYZ, yet you have an uneasy feeling when you Zoom chatted with him.
Evaluations ain't happening because Joe Port Hole, a 6' 3" 195 WR has a hot name, caught a few TD passes, and he's cashing in on $200K NIL to the first bidder. So time is compressed in this faux draft, and you snooze you lose.
Gotta fill your card fast on this real life roster buildout, even as you're finding out in REAL TIME more and more of your own roster that just became eligible to be 'drafted'. So you need an AI program that models money ball style drafting of players reacting in warp speed to your own losses and gains.
Hello huge 'standard deviation', as HEW learned on the field in 2023. And it's not unlikely that a portal-heavy coach/team like Kiffin's at Ole Mrs. gets bit on the a$$ by the port hole standard deviation.
Now, contrast the port hole 'fantasy draft' with going heavy high school signees, patient approach, some culling every Spring and Fall with those who have no upside. You see with your own eyes how a kid is fitting in your culture, becoming SEC game-ready, and you drop commensurate NIL on him to buy 2-3 years. He bonds with and loves his college now, and it stings badly to lose. You can rely on his execution 90% of the time, and his max effort 100% of the time. It's not 'fantasy', it's real.
Entering the open port hole season, head football coach has to "draft" his next season players (from 10 to 25 on average, let's say) via the portal.
Other than the rating services stars assigned to the kid coming out of high school 2-3 years ago, the coach is armed with little more than a stat sheet, PFF scores, and some limited and carefully curated player game video, so margin of error on portal player value his first season on your roster is going to be LARGE. And you can't pin down why he's leaving Team XYZ, yet you have an uneasy feeling when you Zoom chatted with him.
Evaluations ain't happening because Joe Port Hole, a 6' 3" 195 WR has a hot name, caught a few TD passes, and he's cashing in on $200K NIL to the first bidder. So time is compressed in this faux draft, and you snooze you lose.
Gotta fill your card fast on this real life roster buildout, even as you're finding out in REAL TIME more and more of your own roster that just became eligible to be 'drafted'. So you need an AI program that models money ball style drafting of players reacting in warp speed to your own losses and gains.
Hello huge 'standard deviation', as HEW learned on the field in 2023. And it's not unlikely that a portal-heavy coach/team like Kiffin's at Ole Mrs. gets bit on the a$$ by the port hole standard deviation.
Now, contrast the port hole 'fantasy draft' with going heavy high school signees, patient approach, some culling every Spring and Fall with those who have no upside. You see with your own eyes how a kid is fitting in your culture, becoming SEC game-ready, and you drop commensurate NIL on him to buy 2-3 years. He bonds with and loves his college now, and it stings badly to lose. You can rely on his execution 90% of the time, and his max effort 100% of the time. It's not 'fantasy', it's real.
