Something @Stumpfan and I briefly discussed in another thread got me to thinking how the ruling might affect the mid term elections. I think they are still pretty far off so things could change in either direction but the poll numbers are pretty interesting at the moment. They indicate, which makes sense, that the democratic party may very well win a lot of votes over this one that they otherwise might not have.
Will it be enough to hold each the house or Senate?
I had thought the real play here would be at the state level but I dont think people see the abortion issue as a state issue right now even though it clearly is, for the moment anyway.
A few snippets from the article:
This could have political consequences in the 2022 midterms. For one thing, more Democrats now name abortion (17%) over inflation (16%) as “the most important issue to you when thinking about this year’s election,” suggesting that the issue could motivate them to turn out at the polls. Among all voters, abortion (11%) now ranks third behind inflation (34%) and democracy (20%), with crime (4%), immigration (7%), health care (5%) and climate change (5%) trailing well behind.
But perhaps most importantly, the new Yahoo News/YouGov poll shows that 45% of registered voters now say they would vote for a Democrat for Congress if the election were held today, versus 38% who say they would vote for a Republican — a 7-point gap that has nearly doubled since last month. And when explicitly asked to choose between a “pro-choice” Democrat (47%) and a “pro-life” Republican (32%), that same gap actually doubles again, to 15 points.
news.yahoo.com
Will it be enough to hold each the house or Senate?
I had thought the real play here would be at the state level but I dont think people see the abortion issue as a state issue right now even though it clearly is, for the moment anyway.
A few snippets from the article:
This could have political consequences in the 2022 midterms. For one thing, more Democrats now name abortion (17%) over inflation (16%) as “the most important issue to you when thinking about this year’s election,” suggesting that the issue could motivate them to turn out at the polls. Among all voters, abortion (11%) now ranks third behind inflation (34%) and democracy (20%), with crime (4%), immigration (7%), health care (5%) and climate change (5%) trailing well behind.
But perhaps most importantly, the new Yahoo News/YouGov poll shows that 45% of registered voters now say they would vote for a Democrat for Congress if the election were held today, versus 38% who say they would vote for a Republican — a 7-point gap that has nearly doubled since last month. And when explicitly asked to choose between a “pro-choice” Democrat (47%) and a “pro-life” Republican (32%), that same gap actually doubles again, to 15 points.
Poll: Confidence in Supreme Court collapses as just 33% agree with decision to overturn Roe v. Wade
A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll shows that more than six in 10 Americans (61%) now have little or no confidence in the U.S. Supreme Court after its decision Friday to overturn Roe v. Wade .
