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8.7 million folks caught Covid19 in March?

Hornacious

SOME PEOPLE CALL ME “MAURICE”
Gold Member
Nov 28, 2010
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Big if true. If so it is a lot less deadly than we though.
 
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Big if true. If so it is a lot less deadly than we though.

I've been saying this for awhile.

It had to be a much larger number than we thought in March and April. We are currently having a "spike" close to the reported numbers in March but hospitalizations and deaths are going down daily. That can't be if the March numbers are remotely true.

This virus is extremely contagious but not very deadly
 
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If this is considered good news, which it would be, prepare for the incoming messages about how it isn’t true. If we had that many then already, can’t we assume we’ve had a whole lot more since then, meaning very close to herd immunity and less reason to worry about shutting things down? Also could explain the much lower death totals daily now. Now we are capturing the more realistic numbers with all the testing but when 2000 people were dying a day the cases were probably more like 100,000 a day, we just weren’t testing for them
 
Not really. We'd need to be over 60% with antibodies, which is over 10x the current estimate made by the article in the OP. By this time next year we'll probably be close.
That was based on saying you could assume that if 85x the amount of people had it then, maybe 85x the amount of people have it now or have had it the whole time. That would put us at 60% of the US population. Even if the efforts we made slowed the 85x trend, we would still be somewhere in the 40-50% range already. It’s all assuming the op is correct
 
That was based on saying you could assume that if 85x the amount of people had it then, maybe 85x the amount of people have it now or have had it the whole time. That would put us at 60% of the US population. Even if the efforts we made slowed the 85x trend, we would still be somewhere in the 40-50% range already. It’s all assuming the op is correct

Ah, I forgot about the "in March" part
 
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Author of the article is a @VirusBro

instead of saying, “the virus is very contagious but not nearly as deadly as feared”

the author came up with this fear porn ...


———-
“The new estimates paint a grim picture of an invisible killer rapidly hopping from one victim to the next, long before stay-at-home orders and other preventative measures were implemented.”.
——
 
Author of the article is a @VirusBro

instead of saying, “the virus is very contagious but not nearly as deadly as feared”

the author came up with this fear porn ...


———-
“The new estimates paint a grim picture of an invisible killer rapidly hopping from one victim to the next, long before stay-at-home orders and other preventative measures were implemented.”.
——
Author of the article is a @VirusBro

instead of saying, “the virus is very contagious but not nearly as deadly as feared”

the author came up with this fear porn ...


———-
“The new estimates paint a grim picture of an invisible killer rapidly hopping from one victim to the next, long before stay-at-home orders and other preventative measures were implemented.”.
——

@Stumpfan / @DM8 - do you guys have this fella on the board?
 
If this is considered good news, which it would be, prepare for the incoming messages about how it isn’t true. If we had that many then already, can’t we assume we’ve had a whole lot more since then, meaning very close to herd immunity and less reason to worry about shutting things down? Also could explain the much lower death totals daily now. Now we are capturing the more realistic numbers with all the testing but when 2000 people were dying a day the cases were probably more like 100,000 a day, we just weren’t testing for them

I am always complete amazed at the conclusions you come to based on what you want. It’s truly remarkable.
 
That was based on saying you could assume that if 85x the amount of people had it then, maybe 85x the amount of people have it now or have had it the whole time. That would put us at 60% of the US population. Even if the efforts we made slowed the 85x trend, we would still be somewhere in the 40-50% range already. It’s all assuming the op is correct

Holy crap. In March, we were barely testing. You can’t extrapolate that. See my above post on your conclusions. Close to herd immunity. Wow.
 
Found this quote quite interesting.

“During the last week of March, New York had about double the amount of outpatient visits that could not be explained by influenza or other seasonal illnesses than the state has ever recorded in the history of ILI surveillance data, according to the researchers.”
 
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