HEADLINER
| 11:00 AM | 9 Auburn vs 53 Texas A&M SEC-T ESPN | Auburn -7.6 74-66 (78%) | 69 |
SECT
| 01:00 PM | 20 LSU vs 18 Arkansas SEC-T ESPN | Arkansas -0.6 70-69 (52%) | 87 |
| 05:00 PM | 56 Mississippi St. vs 14 Tennessee SEC-T SECN | Tennessee -6.3 68-62 (76%) | 66 | |
| 07:00 PM | 64 Vanderbilt vs 5 Kentucky SEC-T SECN | Kentucky -9.1 75-66 (81%) | 65 |
AUBURN OPPONENTS
| 08:00 PM | 22 Connecticut vs 12 Villanova BE-T FS1 | Villanova -3.6 67-64 (65%) | 75 |
| 08:30 PM | 31 Oklahoma vs 3 Texas Tech B12-T ESPN2 | Texas Tech -5.5 65-60 (73%) | 70 |
| 01:30 PM | 46 Saint Louis vs 93 St. Bonaventure A10-T USA Net | Saint Louis -3.9 71-67 (66%) | 64 |
| 08:00 PM | 92 UCF vs 21 Memphis Amer-T ESPNU | Memphis -7.3 76-69 (76%) | 63 |
OTHERS
| 08:30 PM | 26 Virginia Tech vs 29 North Carolina ACC-T ESPN | Virginia Tech -0.3 72-71 (51%) | 82 | |
| 10:30 AM | 23 Indiana vs 16 Illinois B10-T BTN | Illinois -2.0 68-66 (59%) | 80 | |
| 05:30 PM | 40 Michigan St. vs 27 Wisconsin B10-T BTN | Wisconsin -1.5 70-68 (56%) | 78 |
| 10:59 PM | 24 San Diego St. vs 41 Colorado St. MWC-T CBSSN | San Diego St. -1.7 63-61 (58%) | 74 |
UAB FANS
| 02:00 PM | 60 UAB vs 102 Middle Tennessee CUSA-T CBSSN | UAB -4.0 74-70 (65%) | 65 |
stuff for @Bob Mapplethorpe
saint louis to win outright (HUGE difference in spread, not sure why)
indiana to cover
grand canyon to cover
BRACKET PICKS FOR SWEET 16 AND BEYOND
Here is where things get very general and I try to give you some idea of who might make the Final 4 and/or win the title. For a more in depth breakdown of specific contenders, check out u/locknload03's post.
DOUBLE DIGIT SEEDS IN THE SWEET 16:
Basically, pick one, two, or three teams with double digit seeds to make the Sweet 16. In 31 out of 35 tournaments since 64-team seeding began, there have been one, two, or three double digit seeds in the Sweet 16.
#1 OR #2 SEEDS IN THE SWEET 16:
In terms of the top 2 seeds, 71 out of 96 #1 or #2 seeds have made the Sweet 16. Basically, on average, one or two of the top teams goes down in the first weekend, though in particularly crazy tournaments, that number rises.
ELITE 8 TEAMS FINISHING IN THE TOP 10 OF T-RANK:
In nine of the twelve tournaments since 2008, 4-6 of the teams in the Elite 8 have been in the Top 10 of T-Rank prior to the tournament. (PICK AROUND 5)
#5 SEEDS AND LOWER MAKE THE FINAL 4:
There is no good way to identify the sleeper team. But, in general, there's always one (and sometimes two!). There have been 12 teams seeded 5th or lower to make the Final 4 since 2008. The only tournaments it didn't happen were 2008, 2009, and 2012.
TEAMS WHO FINISHED IN THE TOP 10 IN BOTH ADJO AND ADJD:
There have been 20 teams since 2008 who have finished in the Top 10 in both AdjO and AdjD before the tournament. 14 of those 20 teams made at least the Elite 8. Only half made the Final 4. That said, in years where one of these team existed, they accounted for half of the champions (2008 Kansas, 2010 Duke, 2012 Kentucky, 2016 Villanova, 2019 Virginia). In 2017, Gonzaga lost to UNC in the title game. In 2015, Kentucky lost to Wisconsin in the Final 4. (CURRENTLY ONLY GONZAGA, ALTHOUGHT HOUSTON IS BORDERLINE)
TEAMS WHO FINISHED IN THE TOP 20 OF BOTH ADJO AND ADJD:
There have been 30 #1 seeds who hit this mark. 22 of them made at least the Elite 8. Gonzaga, Illinois, and Michigan all qualify.
There have been 20 #2 seeds who hit this mark. 12 of them made the Elite 8. Houston is the only team that qualifies.
There have been 14 #3 or #4 seeds who hit this mark. Only 4 of them made the Elite 8. Nobody qualifies this year. (auburn is very close to this category, need some good offense in the tourny)
so something like this
Elite 8:
#1 seeds - 32 (2-3 per tournament)
#2/#3 seeds - 36 (3 per tournament)
#4/#5 seeds - 11 (1 per tournament)
#6 or lower - 17
Final 4:
#1 - 19
#2/#3 - 13
#4/#5 - 7
#6 or lower - 9
Championship Game:
#1 - 13
#2/#3/#4/#5 - 8
#6 or lower - 3 (2 in the same year, 2014 you crazy dude)
@grizzlyadams16 @Docdumpsta @Ruxpin @ricedp105 @WarEagle2727 @AUzad @The Canoeman @Docdumpsta @WarDamnEagle @Scott Stapp Enthusiast @Bruuuuuuce @DavistonTiger @whynotAU
