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3/10/2022 Basketball games to watch + more bracket pick stuff

crococile22

CALL ME "CROCKY POO"
Gold Member
Jul 9, 2019
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SEC T

11:00 AM47 Florida vs 57 Texas A&M SEC-T SECNFlorida -0.9 68-67 (54%)74
07:00 PM68 Vanderbilt vs 27 Alabama SEC-T SECNAlabama -3.8 77-74 (64%)74
05:00 PM61 Mississippi St. vs 103 South Carolina SEC-T SECNMississippi St. -3.7 69-66 (65%)64
01:00 PM147 Missouri vs 21 LSU SEC-T SECNLSU -9.8 70-60 (85%)50

AUBURN OPPONENTS

06:00 PM34 Oklahoma vs 3 Baylor B12-T ESPNBaylor -6.7 71-65 (76%)70
11:00 AM55 Syracuse vs 4 Duke ACC-T ESPNDuke -9.5 82-73 (80%)68

OTHERS

10:30 AM22 Indiana vs 25 Michigan B10-T BTNIndiana -0.3 69-68 (51%)82
08:00 PM48 Utah St. vs 44 Colorado St. MWC-T CBSSNColorado St. -0.1 71-70 (51%)78
06:00 PM29 Virginia Tech vs 40 Notre Dame ACC-T ESPN2Virginia Tech -1.0 66-65 (54%)75
01:30 PM45 Marquette vs 76 Creighton BE-T FS1Marquette -2.2 71-69 (59%)73
04:30 PM80 UNLV vs 69 Wyoming MWC-T CBSSNWyoming -0.9 69-68 (54%)71


UAB FANS

08:30 PM116 Florida Atlantic vs 64 UAB CUSA-TUAB -5.0 76-71 (69%)60



picks for mr @Bob Mapplethorpe

the biggest difference in spread is syracuse to cover (about 4.5 points) but idk if id take it with the BUDDY situation

others = indiana to cover

west virginia to cover

uc davis to cover (might go outright here but its very risky)

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BRACKET PICKS- 2nd round stuff

1 AND 2 SEEDS IN DANGER

THE GUIDELINE: Pay special attention to Power Conference (read, regular multi-bid conferences) teams that are Top 10 in AdjO or AdjD or Top 20 Overall. They are 7-7 against #1 or #2 seeds since 2008. Be wary of #1 or #2 seeds with AdjD outside of the Top 20. They are 15-9. All other #1 and #2 seeds? 47-8.

And if you think I'm being biased against the Little Sisters of the Poor, I'm not. Mid-majors who fit that same profile? 1-7.

All other teams are 12-62.

3 VS. 6 OR 11

THE GUIDELINE: Beware of #3 seeds that reside outside of the Top 20 of Overall Efficiency. They are 4-4. All others? 26-8.

To be fair, since 2010, that number falls to 18-8, but there is some logic behind the weakest 3 seeds being the most likely to not make the Sweet 16.

12/13 VS. 4/5

THE GUIDELINE: Avoid at all costs. This is pretty straightforward. Since 2008, there have been 17 instances in which a #12 or #13 seed faced off against a #4 of #5 seed to get to the Sweet 16. They are 2-15.



ill post sweet 16 and beyond stuff tomorrow along with a preview for our matchup :)

@grizzlyadams16 @Bob Mapplethorpe @AUsome Lady @SH0RTS @aler @AgainstTheSpread @Docdumpsta @Mr_Bandoliers @Ruxpin @alphatiger08 @Hornacious @AUbruce @fntiger @CJ3131 and his 30 ukranian kids
 
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